Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0307:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

3-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	4
Mets	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	X	4	8	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.8

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 26%

Opponent allowing 24%

Mets scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 42%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

22%R 10% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 49% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

43%

-11pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+0pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

51%

-4pp

F9 full game

50%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 525Runs Allowed 564

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 497Runs Allowed 522

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	25% 33/133	#326% 35/133	23% 31/133	20% 26/133	#227% 36/133	24% 32/133	23% 31/132	#127% 35/129	19% 19/100	56% 9/16
Marlins	RA	28% 37/133	23% 31/133	25% 33/133	#131% 41/133	#329% 39/133	20% 27/132	18% 24/130	#229% 38/129	28% 27/97	50% 8/16
Mets	R	23% 30/132	12% 16/132	24% 32/132	#327% 36/132	26% 34/132	23% 31/132	#132% 40/124	27% 30/111	#229% 25/85	64% 9/14
Mets	RA	25% 33/132	24% 32/132	21% 28/132	21% 28/132	#130% 40/132	#230% 40/132	22% 28/128	#327% 30/111	27% 21/79	57% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.