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Final
2021-09-0207:10Tropicana Field
3-2
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Red Sox010000101391
Rays002000000281

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 28%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#3
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
48%R 60% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
71%
+14pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
64%
+8pp
F9 full game
65%
+10pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
032649612910169186732606337971410376574836415377963824489282110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 675Runs Allowed 620

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games
0306192123846415645267783688147861589546774579851873269203410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 710Runs Allowed 539
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#334% 46/134#135% 47/13428% 37/13432% 43/13432% 43/13433% 44/13322% 29/131#235% 43/12318% 16/8872% 13/18
RA#331% 42/134#232% 43/13424% 32/13431% 42/13429% 39/134#137% 49/13426% 34/13024% 29/12331% 30/9656% 10/18
RaysR#333% 44/13220% 26/13227% 36/13230% 40/13233% 44/132#136% 48/13232% 41/13033% 43/130#236% 34/9436% 9/25
RA#327% 35/13222% 29/132#231% 41/132#132% 42/13226% 34/13224% 32/13220% 27/13222% 29/13018% 20/11464% 16/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.