Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0204:10T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

0-1

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	X	1	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+0pp

7–9 Late

42%

-10pp

F5 first five

52%

-3pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 699Runs Allowed 526

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 557Runs Allowed 614

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#233% 44/132	25% 33/132	30% 39/132	#143% 57/132	#333% 43/132	30% 39/132	30% 39/132	25% 33/130	29% 28/95	63% 12/19
Astros	RA	21% 28/132	17% 23/132	28% 37/132	26% 34/132	#130% 40/132	#330% 39/132	25% 33/131	#230% 39/130	20% 21/107	68% 13/19
Mariners	R	#330% 40/133	20% 26/133	#135% 46/133	23% 30/133	25% 33/133	26% 35/133	25% 33/133	#230% 39/129	28% 28/99	77% 17/22
Mariners	RA	27% 36/133	#233% 44/133	#331% 41/133	29% 39/133	#137% 49/133	24% 32/133	23% 30/132	26% 33/129	25% 25/101	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.