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Final
2021-09-0201:10Great American Ball Park
5-4
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals1112000--5140
Reds0310000--490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 5%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Reds offense × Cardinals defense
18%R 30% · RA 5%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 60% · Season 63% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
46%
-9pp
F9 full game
48%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games
02449739878641595927466351704725356065646687415883941917510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 537Runs Allowed 549

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
0275582110787817042284613638047362563696765376888854559273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 656Runs Allowed 621
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#135% 46/130#329% 38/130#232% 41/13022% 28/13025% 33/13025% 32/13022% 29/12920% 25/12624% 23/9789% 8/9
RA24% 31/13023% 30/13025% 33/130#132% 41/130#326% 34/130#228% 36/13024% 31/12923% 29/12621% 20/9722% 2/9
RedsR#131% 41/13326% 35/133#230% 40/13324% 32/133#329% 39/13327% 36/13228% 37/13226% 34/13128% 28/9973% 16/22
RA#135% 47/13322% 29/13324% 32/13327% 36/13326% 34/133#327% 36/13224% 32/132#230% 39/13127% 28/10559% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.