Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0107:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

1-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	-	-	1	5	0
Mets	0	0	0	3	0	0	-	-	X	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.8

Marlins scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 22%

Mets scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

28%R 15% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 70% · Season 51% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

52%

-3pp

F9 full game

51%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 524Runs Allowed 561

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 494Runs Allowed 521

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	25% 33/132	#227% 35/132	23% 31/132	20% 26/132	#327% 35/132	24% 32/132	24% 31/131	#127% 35/129	19% 19/100	56% 9/16
Marlins	RA	28% 37/132	23% 31/132	25% 33/132	#130% 40/132	#230% 39/132	21% 27/131	18% 24/130	#329% 38/129	28% 27/97	50% 8/16
Mets	R	23% 30/131	12% 16/131	24% 32/131	27% 35/131	26% 34/131	24% 31/131	#132% 40/124	#327% 30/111	#229% 25/85	64% 9/14
Mets	RA	25% 33/131	24% 32/131	21% 28/131	21% 28/131	#230% 39/131	#131% 40/131	22% 28/127	#327% 30/111	27% 21/79	57% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.