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Final
2021-09-0107:10Tropicana Field
5-8
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 63% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
72%
+15pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
66%
+11pp
F9 full game
65%
+11pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
032649612910069186722605737971410376573826415377863822489282110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 670Runs Allowed 612

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games
0306192123846315545261783688147861588536774579850873249203410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 702Runs Allowed 534
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#334% 45/133#135% 47/13328% 37/13332% 43/13332% 43/13333% 43/13222% 29/130#234% 42/12217% 15/8772% 13/18
RA#232% 42/133#332% 42/13323% 31/13332% 42/13329% 39/133#136% 48/13326% 34/12924% 29/12231% 30/9656% 10/18
RaysR#334% 44/13119% 25/13127% 35/13131% 40/13134% 44/131#236% 47/13132% 41/12933% 43/129#136% 34/9436% 9/25
RA#326% 34/13122% 29/131#231% 41/131#132% 42/13126% 34/13124% 31/13121% 27/13122% 28/12917% 19/11364% 16/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.