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Final
2021-08-3107:10Tropicana Field
1-6
Rays
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Rays10110102X680

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 28%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 78% · Season 63% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
72%
+15pp
7–9 Late
62%
+9pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
65%
+10pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games
032649612910068185722605637970410376573816415377861822489282110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 669Runs Allowed 606

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games
0306090120836315544260783678147861587536774579650873249203410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 696Runs Allowed 533
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#334% 45/132#135% 46/13228% 37/13233% 43/13233% 43/13233% 43/13122% 29/129#235% 42/12117% 15/8672% 13/18
RA31% 41/132#232% 42/13223% 30/13231% 41/13230% 39/132#136% 47/13227% 34/12823% 28/121#331% 30/9656% 10/18
RaysR33% 43/13019% 25/13026% 34/13030% 39/130#334% 44/130#235% 46/13032% 41/12833% 42/128#136% 34/9436% 9/25
RA#326% 34/13022% 28/130#232% 41/130#132% 42/13026% 34/13024% 31/13021% 27/13022% 28/12817% 19/11264% 16/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.