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Final
2021-08-3001:10Comerica Park
2-1
Tigers
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays1001000002102
Tigers000001000180

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Tigers scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-8pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games
0306090120765917459296663655248854581546495175871843339102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 640Runs Allowed 527

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games
0285684113485917572248583776648390559856655672967855499211910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 560Runs Allowed 621
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 37/12832% 41/128#138% 48/12827% 35/128#234% 44/12832% 41/12826% 33/126#332% 37/11426% 22/8550% 8/16
RA24% 31/12824% 31/128#325% 32/12823% 29/128#227% 34/12825% 32/12821% 26/125#132% 36/11424% 21/8862% 10/16
TigersR21% 27/130#329% 38/13024% 31/13029% 38/130#138% 49/13025% 32/13026% 33/12717% 21/121#234% 32/9563% 12/19
RA28% 36/130#232% 42/13027% 35/13028% 37/130#135% 45/130#332% 42/13023% 30/12831% 38/12126% 24/9263% 12/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.