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Final
2021-08-3001:10Citi Field
4-9
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000201010430
Mets10021302X9112

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 58%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
47%R 37% · RA 58%
Sample 19Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+1pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games
028578611592741555727569372744518456066654747576684040971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 563Runs Allowed 615

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games
022446689556713158250493536145871561616714474857840389181110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 485Runs Allowed 517
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 43/12823% 29/128#231% 40/12830% 38/12822% 28/12825% 32/12723% 29/12525% 29/116#331% 28/9150% 4/8
RA#332% 41/12822% 28/12829% 37/12830% 39/128#233% 42/12827% 34/127#135% 44/12629% 34/11630% 25/8388% 7/8
MetsR22% 29/13012% 16/13025% 32/13026% 34/13025% 33/13023% 30/130#133% 40/123#326% 29/110#229% 25/8564% 9/14
RA25% 33/13025% 32/13022% 28/13021% 27/130#130% 39/130#230% 39/13022% 28/12626% 29/110#327% 21/7857% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.