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Final
2021-08-2907:10Citi Field
3-5
Mets
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Nationals0200001003100
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 58%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
45%R 32% · RA 58%
Sample 19Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+1pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
55%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games
028578611592741535727568372744518356066653717576684040971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 560Runs Allowed 610

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

129 games
022446689556713156249493536145771561616684374857840389181110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 480Runs Allowed 514
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 43/12722% 28/127#231% 40/12730% 38/12722% 28/12725% 32/12623% 28/12425% 29/115#331% 28/9050% 4/8
RA#232% 41/12722% 28/12728% 36/12731% 39/127#332% 41/12727% 34/126#134% 43/12530% 34/11530% 25/8388% 7/8
MetsR22% 29/12912% 16/12924% 31/12926% 34/12925% 32/12923% 30/129#132% 39/122#327% 29/109#229% 25/8564% 9/14
RA26% 33/12924% 31/12922% 28/12921% 27/129#130% 39/129#230% 39/12922% 27/12527% 29/109#327% 21/7757% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.