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Final
2021-08-2906:10Comerica Park
3-2
Tigers
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Team12345678910RHE
Blue Jays00000110013120
Tigers0000002000250

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-9pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games
030609012076591745929666365524885458054648497587184333992810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 637Runs Allowed 525

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

129 games
0285684113485917572248583776648390559846635572967855499211810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 558Runs Allowed 618
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 37/12732% 41/127#138% 48/12728% 35/127#235% 44/12731% 40/12726% 32/125#333% 37/11326% 22/8447% 7/15
RA24% 31/12724% 31/127#325% 32/12723% 29/127#227% 34/12725% 32/12720% 25/124#132% 36/11324% 21/8767% 10/15
TigersR21% 27/129#329% 38/12924% 31/12929% 38/129#138% 49/12925% 32/12925% 32/12618% 21/120#234% 32/9467% 12/18
RA28% 36/129#233% 42/12927% 35/12929% 37/129#135% 45/129#332% 41/12923% 29/12732% 38/12026% 24/9161% 11/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.