Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-2804:10Petco Park

Phillies

Away

3-0

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	6	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league -3pp

Inn.8

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 10%

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Padres defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Phillies defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp

Last 20 60% · Season 49% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

42%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-5pp

7–9 Late

42%

-10pp

F5 first five

46%

-7pp

F9 full game

45%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 220Runs Allowed 240

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 214Runs Allowed 212

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#135% 19/55	20% 11/55	22% 12/55	18% 10/55	#325% 14/55	22% 12/55	16% 9/55	#229% 16/55	18% 8/44	62% 5/8
Phillies	RA	22% 12/55	22% 12/55	#233% 18/55	24% 13/55	#325% 14/55	#136% 20/55	22% 12/55	25% 14/55	22% 10/45	62% 5/8
Padres	R	19% 10/54	17% 9/54	19% 10/54	28% 15/54	#230% 16/54	26% 14/54	28% 15/54	#330% 16/54	#133% 14/42	100% 4/4
Padres	RA	#324% 13/54	#130% 16/54	20% 11/54	#228% 15/54	24% 13/54	24% 13/54	24% 13/54	22% 12/54	11% 5/46	50% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.