Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2808:05Globe Life Field

Astros

Away

5-4

Rangers

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	5	9	0
Rangers	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	4	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Rangers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Rangers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rangers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Rangers defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Rangers offense × Astros defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 80% · Season 59% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

66%

+9pp

7–9 Late

44%

-9pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

55%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 683Runs Allowed 500

Rangers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 484Runs Allowed 637

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#234% 43/127	25% 32/127	30% 38/127	#145% 57/127	#333% 42/127	30% 38/127	30% 38/127	26% 32/125	31% 28/90	63% 12/19
Astros	RA	21% 27/127	17% 22/127	#328% 36/127	24% 31/127	#230% 38/127	28% 36/127	26% 33/126	#130% 38/125	20% 21/104	68% 13/19
Rangers	R	19% 24/127	22% 28/127	19% 24/127	#228% 36/127	#328% 35/127	#131% 40/127	19% 24/127	20% 25/125	24% 25/103	60% 15/25
Rangers	RA	#135% 44/127	29% 37/127	30% 38/127	#332% 41/127	30% 38/127	29% 37/127	#234% 43/125	26% 33/125	26% 22/86	60% 15/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.