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Final
2021-08-2807:10Comerica Park
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Tigers
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
44%R 53% · RA 35%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 15% · RA 29%
Sample 17Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 66% · Season 57% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
55%
-0pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games
029598911976591745929566365514885458054648497587084333992810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 636Runs Allowed 523

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games
0285684113485917572248573766648390559846635572867855499211810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 556Runs Allowed 617
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 37/12633% 41/126#137% 47/12628% 35/126#235% 44/12632% 40/12626% 32/124#333% 37/11227% 22/8347% 7/15
RA25% 31/12625% 31/126#325% 32/12622% 28/126#227% 34/12625% 32/12620% 25/123#131% 35/11224% 21/8767% 10/15
TigersR21% 27/128#330% 38/12824% 31/12829% 37/128#138% 49/12825% 32/12826% 32/12517% 20/119#234% 32/9467% 12/18
RA28% 36/128#233% 42/12827% 34/12829% 37/128#135% 45/128#332% 41/12823% 29/12632% 38/11927% 24/9061% 11/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.