Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2807:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

2-1

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

47%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 63%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 56%

Opponent allowing 11%

Mets scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

47%R 32% · RA 63%

Sample 19Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+0pp

7–9 Late

63%

+10pp

F5 first five

53%

-2pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 558Runs Allowed 609

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 479Runs Allowed 512

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#134% 43/126	22% 28/126	#331% 39/126	30% 38/126	22% 28/126	26% 32/125	23% 28/123	25% 29/114	#231% 28/89	50% 4/8
Nationals	RA	#233% 41/126	22% 28/126	29% 36/126	30% 38/126	#333% 41/126	27% 34/125	#135% 43/124	30% 34/114	30% 25/82	88% 7/8
Mets	R	23% 29/128	12% 16/128	24% 31/128	26% 33/128	25% 32/128	23% 30/128	#132% 39/121	#327% 29/108	#230% 25/84	64% 9/14
Mets	RA	26% 33/128	24% 31/128	21% 27/128	21% 27/128	#130% 39/128	#230% 39/128	22% 27/124	27% 29/108	#328% 21/76	57% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.