Sportify
Final
2026-05-2801:10Progressive Field
Team123456789RHE
Nationals001000001251
Guardians00003000X3100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Guardians scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Guardians scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Guardians scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Guardians defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Guardians offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
56%
+3pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games
014284257452813337223293374343332524316382973735820229142110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 304Runs Allowed 307

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games
014284257292211320226931632434345223763216745348151695510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 237Runs Allowed 225
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 19/5627% 15/5630% 17/56#234% 19/56#332% 18/5630% 17/5630% 17/5629% 16/5622% 10/4657% 8/14
RA25% 14/5629% 16/56#334% 19/56#136% 20/5634% 19/5620% 11/5634% 19/5629% 16/56#234% 16/4771% 10/14
GuardiansR26% 15/5716% 9/57#330% 17/5714% 8/57#137% 21/5726% 15/5726% 15/57#235% 20/5726% 11/4340% 2/5
RA23% 13/5719% 11/5716% 9/57#330% 17/5730% 17/57#137% 21/5723% 13/57#233% 19/5729% 13/4580% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.