Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2507:05Citizens Bank Park

Rays

Away

3-1

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	9	0
Phillies	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 65%

Phillies scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 22%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.8

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Phillies defense

45%R 25% · RA 65%

Phillies offense × Rays defense

31%R 40% · RA 22%

Sample 12Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 76% · Season 58% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+8pp

7–9 Late

72%

+19pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

63%

+8pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 664Runs Allowed 514

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 553Runs Allowed 575

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	33% 41/125	19% 24/125	27% 34/125	30% 37/125	#334% 43/125	#236% 45/125	31% 38/123	31% 38/123	#137% 33/89	36% 9/25
Rays	RA	#326% 33/125	22% 27/125	#132% 40/125	#232% 40/125	26% 32/125	23% 29/125	21% 26/125	21% 26/123	17% 18/107	64% 16/25
Phillies	R	#131% 39/124	26% 32/124	26% 32/124	25% 31/124	#327% 34/124	27% 33/124	24% 30/123	#231% 37/120	24% 22/90	67% 8/12
Phillies	RA	27% 33/124	22% 27/124	#331% 38/124	20% 25/124	24% 30/124	28% 35/124	29% 36/123	#232% 38/120	#138% 34/90	50% 6/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.