Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2408:10

Royals

Away

7-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	7	13	1
Astros	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Royals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Astros defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Astros offense × Royals defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 78% · Season 68% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+12pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

59%

+4pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 508Runs Allowed 603

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 672Runs Allowed 488

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	23% 28/123	21% 26/123	#331% 38/123	31% 38/123	#232% 39/123	24% 29/123	#133% 41/123	24% 28/119	28% 26/92	67% 4/6
Royals	RA	31% 38/123	27% 33/123	31% 38/123	#137% 45/123	33% 40/123	30% 37/123	23% 28/122	#234% 40/119	#333% 30/90	67% 4/6
Astros	R	#234% 42/124	26% 32/124	28% 35/124	#145% 56/124	#334% 42/124	30% 37/124	30% 37/124	25% 31/122	32% 28/88	61% 11/18
Astros	RA	22% 27/124	17% 21/124	28% 35/124	24% 30/124	#131% 38/124	#329% 36/124	25% 31/123	#230% 37/122	21% 21/101	72% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.