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Final
2021-08-2303:40Petco Park
7-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Phillies scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 19%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 65%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.8
Phillies scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Padres defense
29%R 40% · RA 19%
Padres offense × Phillies defense
42%R 20% · RA 65%
Sample 15Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-8pp
7–9 Late
65%
+12pp
F5 first five
54%
-2pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0255177103686815753256663525445958556566567178276845599151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 546Runs Allowed 571

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games
024487297776716459254723615745666574616684276548856249181310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 593Runs Allowed 509
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#132% 39/12326% 32/12326% 32/12324% 30/123#327% 33/12327% 33/12324% 29/122#231% 37/11925% 22/8967% 8/12
RA26% 32/12322% 27/123#331% 38/12320% 25/12324% 30/12328% 35/12330% 36/122#232% 38/119#137% 33/8950% 6/12
PadresR31% 39/12630% 38/12625% 32/12629% 36/12621% 27/126#231% 39/125#331% 39/12525% 31/122#132% 27/8459% 10/17
RA25% 31/126#327% 34/126#130% 38/12626% 33/126#230% 38/12626% 32/12520% 25/12526% 32/12218% 18/9847% 8/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.