Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2302:10

Mariners

Away

6-3

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	6	9	1
Astros	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.4

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 72% · Season 54% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

65%

+8pp

7–9 Late

44%

-9pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

55%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 517Runs Allowed 582

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 669Runs Allowed 482

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#330% 37/124	19% 23/124	#136% 45/124	24% 30/124	25% 31/124	26% 32/124	26% 32/124	#230% 36/120	27% 25/92	82% 14/17
Mariners	RA	25% 31/124	#235% 43/124	#333% 41/124	30% 37/124	#139% 48/124	23% 29/124	23% 28/123	26% 31/120	26% 24/92	59% 10/17
Astros	R	#234% 42/123	25% 31/123	28% 35/123	#146% 56/123	#334% 42/123	30% 37/123	30% 37/123	26% 31/121	32% 28/87	62% 10/16
Astros	RA	22% 27/123	17% 21/123	28% 35/123	24% 30/123	#131% 38/123	#329% 36/123	25% 31/122	#230% 36/121	20% 20/100	75% 12/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.