Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2301:10Great American Ball Park

Marlins

Away

1-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0
Reds	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	X	3	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Marlins scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

19%

Own scoring 14%

Opponent allowing 24%

Reds scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 42%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Reds defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Marlins defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp

Last 20 82% · Season 57% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-2pp

7–9 Late

61%

+8pp

F5 first five

53%

-2pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 503Runs Allowed 537

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 634Runs Allowed 597

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	24% 30/125	#326% 33/125	25% 31/125	20% 25/125	#227% 34/125	24% 30/125	23% 29/124	#129% 35/122	20% 19/96	53% 8/15
Marlins	RA	28% 35/125	25% 31/125	26% 32/125	#130% 38/125	#329% 36/125	21% 26/124	19% 23/123	#230% 36/122	27% 25/91	53% 8/15
Reds	R	#230% 38/125	27% 34/125	#131% 39/125	24% 30/125	30% 37/125	27% 34/124	#330% 37/124	26% 32/123	28% 26/92	73% 16/22
Reds	RA	#134% 43/125	23% 29/125	26% 32/125	27% 34/125	27% 34/125	27% 34/124	23% 29/124	#230% 37/123	#328% 28/101	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.