Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2204:10

Mariners

Away

1-15

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	0
Astros	1	0	4	1	6	3	0	0	X	15	15	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+8pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 516Runs Allowed 567

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 654Runs Allowed 481

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#330% 37/123	19% 23/123	#137% 45/123	24% 30/123	25% 31/123	25% 31/123	26% 32/123	#230% 36/119	27% 25/91	82% 14/17
Mariners	RA	24% 30/123	#235% 43/123	#333% 40/123	29% 36/123	#138% 47/123	23% 28/123	23% 28/122	26% 31/119	26% 24/92	59% 10/17
Astros	R	#234% 41/122	25% 31/122	28% 34/122	#145% 55/122	#334% 41/122	30% 36/122	30% 37/122	26% 31/120	32% 28/87	62% 10/16
Astros	RA	22% 27/122	17% 21/122	#329% 35/122	25% 30/122	#131% 38/122	29% 35/122	26% 31/121	#230% 36/120	20% 20/99	75% 12/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.