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Final
2021-08-2110:10Petco Park
4-3
Padres
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Phillies003000010450
Padres002000010341

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Phillies scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 19%
Padres scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 67%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Padres defense
31%R 43% · RA 19%
Padres offense × Phillies defense
44%R 21% · RA 67%
Sample 14Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
64%
+11pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
02449749967681575325364352544595855656656707797584557915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 539Runs Allowed 564

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
024487297776616459252693615745666574616674276445854249171310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 586Runs Allowed 502
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#131% 38/12126% 32/12126% 31/12125% 30/121#327% 33/12127% 33/12124% 29/120#230% 35/11725% 22/8773% 8/11
RA26% 32/12122% 27/121#331% 37/12121% 25/12125% 30/12129% 35/12129% 35/120#232% 37/117#137% 32/8745% 5/11
PadresR#331% 39/12431% 38/12425% 31/12429% 36/12422% 27/124#132% 39/12331% 38/12325% 30/120#232% 26/8256% 9/16
RA24% 30/124#327% 34/124#230% 37/12427% 33/124#131% 38/12426% 32/12320% 25/12325% 30/12019% 18/9650% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.