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Final
2021-08-2107:10Great American Ball Park
3-5
Reds
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 46%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Reds defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Reds offense × Marlins defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
54%
-2pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
024487297515716766263533417745256559426524276174838469121210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 496Runs Allowed 525

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0265278104716816942283613567846660557676764776579852559273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 622Runs Allowed 590
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR24% 30/123#227% 33/12325% 31/12320% 25/123#327% 33/12324% 30/12324% 29/122#128% 33/12020% 19/9453% 8/15
RA27% 33/12325% 31/12326% 32/123#131% 38/123#328% 35/12320% 25/12219% 23/121#229% 35/12027% 25/9153% 8/15
RedsR#329% 36/12328% 34/123#132% 39/12324% 30/12329% 36/12327% 33/122#230% 37/12226% 31/12128% 26/9273% 16/22
RA#135% 43/12324% 29/12326% 32/12328% 34/12327% 33/12328% 34/12224% 29/122#229% 35/121#328% 28/9959% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.