Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-2102:20Wrigley Field

Royals

Away

6-2

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	1	6	8	1
Cubs	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Cubs defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Cubs offense × Royals defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

60%

+7pp

F5 first five

55%

-0pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 489Runs Allowed 598

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 512Runs Allowed 600

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	22% 27/120	20% 24/120	#231% 37/120	#330% 36/120	30% 36/120	22% 27/120	#133% 40/120	23% 27/116	28% 25/89	67% 4/6
Royals	RA	32% 38/120	27% 32/120	31% 37/120	#137% 44/120	33% 40/120	31% 37/120	23% 27/119	#234% 40/116	#334% 30/87	67% 4/6
Cubs	R	#329% 36/123	25% 31/123	#132% 39/123	#232% 39/123	24% 29/123	26% 32/123	24% 29/122	27% 32/120	24% 23/94	70% 7/10
Cubs	RA	28% 35/123	27% 33/123	#329% 36/123	#232% 39/123	29% 36/123	#133% 41/123	25% 31/123	16% 19/120	18% 15/85	90% 9/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.