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Final
2021-08-2007:10Great American Ball Park
1-6
Reds
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Marlins000100000180
Reds00040020X690

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 41%
Reds scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Reds defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Reds offense × Marlins defense
40%R 25% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
023466993515716766263533407345256559426524076174838469121210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 495Runs Allowed 519

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
0265278104716816942283613527746660557676744776579852559273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 616Runs Allowed 589
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 30/122#227% 33/12225% 31/12220% 24/122#327% 33/12225% 30/12224% 29/121#128% 33/11920% 19/9353% 8/15
RA27% 33/12225% 31/12226% 32/122#130% 37/122#329% 35/12221% 25/12118% 22/120#229% 35/11927% 25/9153% 8/15
RedsR#330% 36/12228% 34/122#132% 39/12224% 29/12230% 36/12227% 33/121#230% 36/12126% 31/12028% 26/9273% 16/22
RA#135% 43/12224% 29/12226% 32/12227% 33/12227% 33/12228% 34/12124% 29/121#229% 35/120#329% 28/9859% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.