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Final
2021-08-1907:10Tropicana Field
4-8
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles200000110481
Rays20020301X8120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Rays scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +37pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 65%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#3
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
50%R 45% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +37pp
Last 20 92% · Season 64% · +28pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
81%
+24pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
68%
+13pp
F9 full game
64%
+9pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
02958871176178141712729335679451905457864065769918343996910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 475Runs Allowed 693

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
0255177103705915043258763587847554578486664278244870219203210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 627Runs Allowed 497
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#133% 39/11820% 24/118#331% 37/11831% 37/11827% 32/11824% 28/11822% 26/118#232% 36/11318% 18/9975% 6/8
RA31% 36/11830% 35/118#336% 42/11836% 42/11836% 42/118#136% 43/11829% 34/116#236% 41/11328% 21/7662% 5/8
RaysR31% 37/12018% 21/12028% 33/12028% 34/120#334% 41/120#236% 43/12031% 37/11829% 34/118#138% 33/8839% 9/23
RA#326% 31/12022% 27/120#232% 39/120#133% 40/12025% 30/12023% 28/12021% 25/12020% 24/11816% 16/10265% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.