#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 31%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
50%R 50% · RA 50%
+
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 85% · Season 62% · +23pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
69%
+16pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
63%
+9pp
Show team trends+
Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
118 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 610Runs Allowed 489
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
119 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 524Runs Allowed 575
Show raw detail and samples+
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | R | 31% 36/118 | #333% 39/118 | #138% 45/118 | 28% 33/118 | #236% 43/118 | 32% 38/118 | 26% 30/116 | 32% 33/104 | 27% 21/78 | 50% 6/12 |
| RA | 25% 29/118 | #325% 30/118 | 25% 30/118 | 22% 26/118 | #229% 34/118 | 24% 28/118 | 21% 24/115 | #133% 34/104 | 24% 19/80 | 58% 7/12 | |
| Nationals | R | #134% 41/119 | 24% 28/119 | #232% 38/119 | #330% 36/119 | 21% 25/119 | 24% 28/118 | 22% 26/116 | 27% 29/107 | 29% 24/83 | 57% 4/7 |
| RA | 32% 38/119 | 21% 25/119 | 29% 35/119 | 31% 37/119 | #133% 39/119 | 27% 32/118 | #232% 38/117 | 31% 33/107 | #332% 25/78 | 86% 6/7 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.