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Final
2021-08-1808:10Kauffman Stadium
Astros
Away
1-3
Royals
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Astros scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.6
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Royals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Royals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Royals defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Royals offense × Astros defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 75% · Season 66% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
71%
+14pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
0275481109724215336282463874947666567626624376764853389142310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 633Runs Allowed 469

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
0244973985277143572587236278461625476566958741708424495610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 480Runs Allowed 589
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#234% 40/11825% 30/11827% 32/118#145% 53/118#334% 40/11830% 35/11831% 36/11827% 31/11633% 28/8460% 9/15
RA22% 26/11818% 21/118#329% 34/11823% 27/118#132% 38/11828% 33/11826% 30/117#230% 35/11621% 20/9780% 12/15
RoyalsR22% 26/11721% 24/117#231% 36/11729% 34/117#331% 36/11722% 26/117#133% 39/11724% 27/11328% 25/8880% 4/5
RA32% 38/11727% 32/11731% 36/117#137% 43/11734% 40/11731% 36/11722% 26/116#335% 40/113#236% 30/8460% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.