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Final
2021-08-1807:10Tropicana Field
0-10
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Rays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +34pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 65%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#3
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +34pp
Last 20 90% · Season 64% · +26pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
78%
+22pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
70%
+14pp
F9 full game
65%
+10pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
02958871176178141712729335676451855457664065769918343996910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 475Runs Allowed 683

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games
0255177103705915043258763557847054576486664278244870219203210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 617Runs Allowed 497
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#133% 39/11721% 24/117#332% 37/11732% 37/11727% 32/11724% 28/11722% 26/117#232% 36/11218% 18/9875% 6/8
RA31% 36/11730% 35/117#236% 42/11735% 41/11735% 41/117#336% 42/11730% 34/115#137% 41/11228% 21/7662% 5/8
RaysR31% 37/11918% 21/11928% 33/11928% 33/119#334% 40/119#235% 42/11932% 37/11729% 34/117#138% 33/8839% 9/23
RA#326% 31/11923% 27/119#233% 39/119#134% 40/11925% 30/11924% 28/11921% 25/11921% 24/11716% 16/10165% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.