Sportify
Final
2021-08-1807:05Nationals Park
6-12
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0010200306101
Nationals01610004X12101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 38%
Nationals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +31pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
41%R 43% · RA 38%
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
42%R 53% · RA 31%
Sample 7Combined vs league +31pp
Last 20 83% · Season 56% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
68%
+15pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
62%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
028578611575521715729256363464855457449644457506584231982210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 604Runs Allowed 477

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
027548110987681525326666366714467755663646637535883340971010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 512Runs Allowed 569
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR31% 36/117#333% 39/117#138% 44/11728% 33/117#236% 42/11732% 38/11726% 30/11531% 32/10327% 21/7750% 6/12
RA#325% 29/11725% 29/11725% 29/11721% 25/117#229% 34/11724% 28/11721% 24/114#132% 33/10324% 19/8058% 7/12
NationalsR#135% 41/11823% 27/118#231% 37/118#330% 35/11821% 25/11824% 28/11723% 26/11526% 28/10629% 24/8357% 4/7
RA#332% 38/11821% 25/11829% 34/11831% 37/11832% 38/11827% 32/117#133% 38/11630% 32/106#232% 25/7786% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.