Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-1708:40Coors Field

Padres

Away

5-6

Rockies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	5	10	0
Rockies	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	1X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rockies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Rockies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.2

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Rockies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Rockies defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Rockies offense × Padres defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

47%

-6pp

F5 first five

64%

+9pp

F9 full game

55%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 573Runs Allowed 482

Rockies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 525Runs Allowed 572

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#132% 39/121	30% 36/121	25% 30/121	29% 35/121	22% 27/121	#331% 37/120	31% 37/120	26% 30/117	#232% 25/79	56% 9/16
Padres	RA	22% 27/121	#328% 34/121	#229% 35/121	26% 31/121	#131% 37/121	26% 31/120	20% 24/120	26% 30/117	18% 17/95	50% 8/16
Rockies	R	#331% 36/118	25% 30/118	19% 23/118	#134% 40/118	28% 33/118	25% 29/118	#231% 36/117	28% 31/109	19% 15/81	59% 10/17
Rockies	RA	31% 36/118	26% 31/118	29% 34/118	24% 28/118	26% 31/118	#137% 44/118	#332% 37/114	27% 29/109	#234% 24/70	59% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.