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Final
2021-08-1708:10Kauffman Stadium
Astros
Away
6-7
Royals
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Royals02100112X7120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Royals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Royals defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Royals offense × Astros defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 65% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+11pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
0275481109714215334282453874947466566616624276662852389142310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 627Runs Allowed 462

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
0244973985276141572577236278461605466466858739698424395610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 473Runs Allowed 583
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#233% 39/11726% 30/11727% 32/117#145% 53/117#333% 39/11729% 34/11731% 36/11726% 30/11533% 27/8360% 9/15
RA22% 26/11717% 20/117#328% 33/11723% 27/117#132% 38/11727% 32/11725% 29/116#230% 34/11521% 20/9780% 12/15
RoyalsR22% 26/11620% 23/116#330% 35/11629% 34/116#231% 36/11622% 25/116#133% 38/11623% 26/11228% 25/8880% 4/5
RA32% 37/11628% 32/11631% 36/116#137% 43/11634% 39/11630% 35/11623% 26/115#335% 39/112#235% 29/8360% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.