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Final
2021-08-1707:10Tropicana Field
2-9
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles001000010270
Rays00023310X9120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 50%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +32pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#3
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
48%R 45% · RA 50%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +32pp
Last 20 88% · Season 64% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
66%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
76%
+19pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
69%
+14pp
F9 full game
65%
+10pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
02958871176178141712719335674451825457364064768918343996910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 473Runs Allowed 674

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
0255177103705915043258753537846754573486654278243870219203210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 608Runs Allowed 495
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#134% 39/11621% 24/11631% 36/116#232% 37/11628% 32/11624% 28/11622% 26/116#332% 35/11119% 18/9775% 6/8
RA31% 36/11630% 35/116#236% 42/11634% 40/11634% 40/116#335% 41/11629% 33/114#137% 41/11128% 21/7662% 5/8
RaysR31% 37/11818% 21/11828% 33/11827% 32/118#333% 39/118#235% 41/11831% 36/11629% 34/116#138% 33/8839% 9/23
RA#326% 31/11823% 27/118#232% 38/118#134% 40/11825% 30/11824% 28/11821% 25/11820% 23/11616% 16/10065% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.