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Final
2021-08-1707:10Great American Ball Park
Cubs
Away
5-14
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Cubs0000000505100
Reds00022082X14140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Cubs scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 53%
Reds scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 42%
Heating upCombined vs league +42pp
#2
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense
46%R 39% · RA 53%
Reds offense × Cubs defense
48%R 53% · RA 42%
Sample 12Combined vs league +42pp
Last 20 93% · Season 50% · +44pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+5pp
7–9 Late
65%
+12pp
F5 first five
62%
+6pp
F9 full game
63%
+8pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
0265278104678314877262553587445366555806495875847838299101510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 498Runs Allowed 584

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games
0265278104716716838283603507746460556656664776374852549273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 600Runs Allowed 575
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#329% 35/12025% 30/120#232% 38/120#132% 39/12024% 29/12025% 30/12024% 29/11926% 31/11724% 22/9170% 7/10
RA29% 35/12027% 32/120#330% 36/120#232% 38/12029% 35/120#133% 40/12025% 30/12015% 18/11718% 15/8390% 9/10
RedsR#230% 36/11928% 33/119#133% 39/11924% 28/11929% 35/11927% 32/118#330% 35/11826% 30/11729% 26/9073% 16/22
RA#135% 42/11924% 28/11926% 31/11928% 33/11928% 33/11927% 32/11825% 29/118#229% 34/117#328% 27/9559% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.