Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-1602:10Target Field

Rays

Away

4-5

Twins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	4	7	1
Twins	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1X	5	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 35%

Twins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Twins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Twins defense

45%R 55% · RA 35%

Twins offense × Rays defense

38%R 45% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 82% · Season 65% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

71%

+14pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

62%

+7pp

F9 full game

60%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 604Runs Allowed 490

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 541Runs Allowed 616

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	32% 37/117	18% 21/117	28% 33/117	27% 32/117	#332% 38/117	#234% 40/117	30% 35/115	30% 34/115	#138% 33/87	39% 9/23
Rays	RA	#326% 30/117	23% 27/117	#232% 38/117	#133% 39/117	26% 30/117	24% 28/117	21% 25/117	20% 23/115	15% 15/99	65% 15/23
Twins	R	#333% 39/117	25% 29/117	32% 37/117	24% 28/117	29% 34/117	#238% 45/117	20% 23/117	#139% 42/109	17% 15/86	50% 10/20
Twins	RA	30% 35/117	31% 36/117	29% 34/117	30% 35/117	#138% 45/117	#232% 38/117	27% 30/113	30% 33/109	#331% 26/84	65% 13/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.