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Final
2021-08-1602:10Kauffman Stadium
7-2
Royals
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals3400000007120
Royals000000020290

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Royals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +29pp
#2
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 43%
Royals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 18%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Royals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Royals offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +29pp
Last 20 85% · Season 61% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+9pp
7–9 Late
55%
+2pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
02041628366641495426460351614615055563641577345583935915210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 475Runs Allowed 501

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
0244973985273141532577236278461605466466858737698424395610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 471Runs Allowed 576
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#134% 39/116#329% 34/116#231% 36/11624% 28/11625% 29/11624% 28/11622% 25/11520% 22/11227% 23/8586% 6/7
RA#327% 31/11622% 26/11625% 29/116#131% 36/11627% 31/116#229% 34/11625% 29/11524% 27/11219% 16/8414% 1/7
RoyalsR23% 26/11520% 23/115#330% 35/11530% 34/115#231% 36/11522% 25/115#133% 38/11523% 25/11129% 25/8780% 4/5
RA31% 36/11527% 31/11531% 36/115#137% 43/11534% 39/11530% 35/11523% 26/114#335% 39/111#235% 29/8260% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.