Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-1601:10loanDepot park

Cubs

Away

1-4

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	1
Marlins	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	X	4	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 39%

Opponent allowing 50%

Marlins scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 33%

Heating upCombined vs league +32pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 60%

Marlins scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +32pp

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 41%

Opponent allowing 40%

Marlins scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 8%

Opponent allowing 46%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Marlins defense

44%R 39% · RA 50%

Marlins offense × Cubs defense

42%R 50% · RA 33%

Sample 18Combined vs league +32pp

Last 20 86% · Season 50% · +36pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

69%

+14pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-3pp

7–9 Late

66%

+13pp

F5 first five

64%

+9pp

F9 full game

63%

+8pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 497Runs Allowed 580

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 480Runs Allowed 493

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#329% 35/119	25% 30/119	#232% 38/119	#133% 39/119	24% 29/119	24% 29/119	25% 29/118	27% 31/116	24% 22/90	70% 7/10
Cubs	RA	29% 35/119	27% 32/119	#330% 36/119	#232% 38/119	29% 34/119	#133% 39/119	24% 29/119	16% 18/116	18% 15/83	90% 9/10
Marlins	R	25% 29/118	#227% 32/118	#326% 31/118	20% 24/118	26% 31/118	25% 29/118	23% 27/117	#129% 33/115	20% 18/90	53% 8/15
Marlins	RA	27% 32/118	26% 31/118	27% 32/118	#130% 35/118	#229% 34/118	19% 22/117	18% 21/116	#329% 33/115	28% 24/87	53% 8/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.