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Final
2021-08-1507:10Kauffman Stadium
9-4
Royals
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals0000204039110
Royals0001000034122

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Royals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 36%
Royals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 18%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Royals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Royals offense × Cardinals defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 82% · Season 61% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+8pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
02041628366641495426460351604595055563637577345583632915210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 466Runs Allowed 497

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games
0244973985273141532577236178461585466466854737698394095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 467Runs Allowed 567
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#134% 39/115#330% 34/115#231% 36/11524% 28/11524% 28/11524% 28/11521% 24/11420% 22/11126% 22/8486% 6/7
RA#327% 31/11523% 26/11525% 29/115#130% 35/11527% 31/115#230% 34/11525% 29/11424% 27/11118% 15/8314% 1/7
RoyalsR23% 26/11420% 23/114#331% 35/11429% 33/114#232% 36/11422% 25/114#133% 38/11423% 25/11028% 24/8680% 4/5
RA32% 36/11427% 31/11432% 36/114#138% 43/11433% 38/11431% 35/11422% 25/113#235% 39/110#335% 28/8160% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.