Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-1506:10loanDepot park

Cubs

Away

4-5

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	7	4
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 65%

Marlins scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +34pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 45%

Marlins scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 28%

Heating upCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 40%

Marlins scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 7%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Marlins defense

43%R 20% · RA 65%

Marlins offense × Cubs defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +34pp

Last 20 85% · Season 53% · +32pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

71%

+16pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-3pp

7–9 Late

66%

+13pp

F5 first five

66%

+11pp

F9 full game

63%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 493Runs Allowed 575

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 475Runs Allowed 489

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#330% 35/118	25% 30/118	#132% 38/118	#232% 38/118	25% 29/118	25% 29/118	25% 29/117	26% 30/115	25% 22/89	70% 7/10
Cubs	RA	30% 35/118	27% 32/118	#331% 36/118	#132% 38/118	29% 34/118	#232% 38/118	25% 29/118	15% 17/115	18% 15/83	90% 9/10
Marlins	R	25% 29/117	#227% 32/117	#326% 31/117	21% 24/117	26% 31/117	24% 28/117	23% 27/116	#128% 32/114	20% 18/90	53% 8/15
Marlins	RA	27% 32/117	26% 31/117	27% 32/117	#129% 34/117	#229% 34/117	19% 22/116	18% 21/115	#328% 32/114	28% 24/86	53% 8/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.