Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-1504:05Citizens Bank Park

Reds

Away

1-6

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	1
Phillies	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	X	6	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

67%

Own scoring 57%

Opponent allowing 76%

Phillies scoring tendency

47%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 56%

Sustained highCombined vs league +62pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Phillies defense

67%R 57% · RA 76%

Phillies offense × Reds defense

47%R 38% · RA 56%

Sample 13Combined vs league +62pp

Last 20 114% · Season 60% · +54pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-1pp

7–9 Late

70%

+17pp

F5 first five

55%

-0pp

F9 full game

60%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 592Runs Allowed 565

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 523Runs Allowed 543

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#330% 35/117	28% 33/117	#132% 38/117	24% 28/117	29% 34/117	28% 32/116	#230% 35/116	24% 28/115	30% 26/88	73% 16/22
Reds	RA	#136% 42/117	24% 28/117	26% 30/117	27% 32/117	27% 32/117	27% 31/116	24% 28/116	#328% 32/115	#229% 27/94	59% 13/22
Phillies	R	#132% 37/116	#328% 32/116	25% 29/116	25% 29/116	28% 32/116	28% 32/116	24% 28/115	#228% 31/112	24% 20/83	73% 8/11
Phillies	RA	27% 31/116	23% 27/116	#330% 35/116	20% 23/116	23% 27/116	29% 34/116	29% 33/115	#231% 35/112	#138% 32/85	45% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.