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Final
2021-08-1302:20Wrigley Field
17-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Brewers05004430117223
Cubs010000201480

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Brewers scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.9
Brewers scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 18%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.6
Brewers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Brewers defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
54%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
024497398696715049248293513744828578566655975246843279222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 526Runs Allowed 423

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
0255177103658214561262533577445261554726475375145836289101510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 479Runs Allowed 544
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BrewersR#134% 39/11524% 28/11526% 30/11523% 27/11523% 27/115#231% 36/11525% 29/11522% 24/110#329% 24/8367% 14/21
RA#227% 31/11521% 24/11513% 15/11524% 28/11516% 18/11524% 28/115#326% 30/115#130% 33/11017% 16/9257% 12/21
CubsR#329% 34/11624% 28/116#133% 38/116#233% 38/11624% 28/11625% 29/11624% 28/11526% 29/11323% 20/8770% 7/10
RA29% 34/11626% 30/116#330% 35/116#133% 38/11628% 33/116#232% 37/11624% 28/11615% 17/11317% 14/8290% 9/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.