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Final
2021-08-1300:10Citi Field
1-4
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals0000010--140
Mets030100--X4120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
37%R 43% · RA 31%
Sample 12Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 74% · Season 61% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+1pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
026538010785681524926362365684436955460643587535783337971010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 498Runs Allowed 538

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
02041628352551284924843345504526655655657337435283736912710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 430Runs Allowed 446
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 40/11324% 27/113#232% 36/113#330% 34/11320% 23/11323% 26/11223% 25/11027% 28/10330% 24/8057% 4/7
RA#134% 38/11320% 23/11328% 32/11331% 35/11331% 35/11327% 30/112#231% 35/11230% 31/103#331% 23/7486% 6/7
MetsR25% 28/11313% 15/11327% 30/11324% 27/11326% 29/11324% 27/113#232% 34/107#327% 26/95#132% 23/7167% 6/9
RA23% 26/11325% 28/11321% 24/11319% 21/113#132% 36/113#231% 35/11320% 22/10927% 26/95#329% 20/6856% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.