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Final
2021-08-1204:10Petco Park
7-0
Padres
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Marlins3110100107120
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 65%
Sustained highCombined vs league +42pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 11%
Padres scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Marlins defense
55%R 45% · RA 65%
Sample 20Combined vs league +42pp
Last 20 92% · Season 55% · +37pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
63%
+7pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
020406080465415464260533406144854555376493875862832449121210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 454Runs Allowed 479

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
023477094755316157250573605145360571596623776042851229171310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 560Runs Allowed 451
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR23% 27/115#226% 30/11525% 29/11521% 24/115#326% 30/11524% 28/11524% 27/114#128% 31/11220% 18/8953% 8/15
RA27% 31/11526% 30/115#328% 32/115#130% 34/115#229% 33/11519% 22/11419% 21/11328% 31/11227% 23/8453% 8/15
PadresR#233% 38/11631% 36/11625% 29/11630% 35/11622% 26/116#331% 36/11531% 36/11526% 29/112#134% 25/7456% 9/16
RA22% 25/116#228% 32/116#328% 32/11626% 30/116#128% 33/11626% 30/11520% 23/11525% 28/11217% 16/9250% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.