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Final
2021-08-1110:10Petco Park
5-6
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins3100001005121
Padres21020010X6120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 65%
Sustained highCombined vs league +35pp
#2
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 17%
Padres scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Marlins defense
52%R 40% · RA 65%
Sample 20Combined vs league +35pp
Last 20 85% · Season 54% · +31pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games
019395979435215363260533405944854555376483775862832449121210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 449Runs Allowed 473

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
023466992735016056250573585145360571596613676042851229171310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 554Runs Allowed 446
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR23% 26/114#325% 29/11425% 29/11421% 24/114#226% 30/11425% 28/11423% 26/113#128% 31/11120% 18/8853% 8/15
RA26% 30/11425% 29/114#328% 32/114#129% 33/114#229% 33/11419% 22/11318% 20/11228% 31/11127% 23/8453% 8/15
PadresR#232% 37/11530% 35/11525% 29/11530% 34/11523% 26/115#332% 36/11431% 35/11426% 29/111#134% 25/7456% 9/16
RA21% 24/115#327% 31/115#228% 32/11526% 30/115#129% 33/11526% 30/11419% 22/11425% 28/11118% 16/9150% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.