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Final
2021-08-1204:10Citi Field
7-8
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals3100300007103
Mets10301012X8131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 27%
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 39%
Mets scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 53% · RA 27%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
34%R 40% · RA 29%
Sample 11Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 75% · Season 62% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-2pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
025517710382671514926359365684406855460643577535583337971010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 491Runs Allowed 530

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
01939597951521284824543345504516355655656337415283736912710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 422Runs Allowed 439
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 39/11223% 26/112#232% 36/11230% 34/11220% 22/11223% 26/11123% 25/10927% 28/102#330% 24/7957% 4/7
RA#133% 37/11221% 23/11228% 31/112#231% 35/11230% 34/11227% 30/11131% 34/11129% 30/102#331% 23/7486% 6/7
MetsR24% 27/11213% 15/11226% 29/11224% 27/11225% 28/11224% 27/112#231% 33/106#327% 25/94#132% 23/7167% 6/9
RA22% 25/11224% 27/11221% 24/11219% 21/112#131% 35/112#231% 35/11220% 22/10828% 26/94#330% 20/6756% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.