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Final
2021-08-1108:05Wrigley Field
6-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Brewers0000600--681
Cubs0001011--370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Brewers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 21%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.4
Brewers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.1
Brewers scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Brewers defense
33%R 44% · RA 21%
Sample 15Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 65% · Season 42% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-0pp
7–9 Late
56%
+3pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
024487297626715049248283473644228577546655875246841279222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 506Runs Allowed 418

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
023477094657514561261533567045255552716465375145836269101510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 474Runs Allowed 524
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BrewersR#134% 38/11225% 28/11227% 30/11222% 25/11223% 26/112#231% 35/11226% 29/11222% 24/109#328% 23/8267% 14/21
RA#228% 31/11221% 24/11212% 14/11224% 27/11216% 18/11223% 26/112#326% 29/112#130% 33/10918% 16/9157% 12/21
CubsR#330% 34/11325% 28/113#133% 37/113#233% 37/11325% 28/11324% 27/11324% 27/11226% 29/11223% 20/8670% 7/10
RA29% 33/11327% 30/113#331% 35/113#132% 36/11328% 32/113#232% 36/11325% 28/11315% 17/11216% 13/8190% 9/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.