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Final
2021-08-1010:10Petco Park
3-8
Padres
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Marlins010000020370
Padres01120004X890

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 65%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 11%
Padres scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Marlins defense
52%R 40% · RA 65%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 80% · Season 53% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
019395878435215262260523405744854555376483775658832449121210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 446Runs Allowed 465

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games
023466992735015955249573565145360571596613675640851229171310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 546Runs Allowed 443
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR23% 26/11325% 28/113#326% 29/11321% 24/113#227% 30/11325% 28/11323% 26/112#127% 30/11021% 18/8753% 8/15
RA27% 30/11325% 28/113#327% 31/113#228% 32/113#129% 33/11320% 22/11218% 20/11127% 30/11027% 23/8453% 8/15
PadresR#232% 37/11430% 34/11425% 28/11429% 33/11423% 26/114#332% 36/11331% 35/11325% 28/110#134% 25/7456% 9/16
RA21% 24/11426% 30/114#228% 32/11426% 30/114#129% 33/114#327% 30/11319% 22/11325% 27/11018% 16/9050% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.