Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-0902:15Busch Stadium

Royals

Away

6-5

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	1	6	9	0
Cardinals	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	9	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.3

Royals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Cardinals offense × Royals defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 59% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+5pp

7–9 Late

45%

-8pp

F5 first five

60%

+5pp

F9 full game

54%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 445Runs Allowed 539

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 440Runs Allowed 484

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	22% 24/109	21% 23/109	#232% 35/109	29% 32/109	#330% 33/109	21% 23/109	#133% 36/109	22% 23/105	27% 22/82	67% 2/3
Royals	RA	31% 34/109	28% 31/109	32% 35/109	#137% 40/109	34% 37/109	31% 34/109	21% 23/108	#234% 36/105	#334% 26/76	33% 1/3
Cardinals	R	#133% 36/110	#330% 33/110	#233% 36/110	23% 25/110	25% 27/110	23% 25/110	21% 23/109	19% 20/106	25% 20/79	86% 6/7
Cardinals	RA	#327% 30/110	24% 26/110	26% 29/110	#229% 32/110	27% 30/110	#130% 33/110	27% 29/109	25% 27/106	17% 13/78	14% 1/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.