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Final
2021-08-0901:20Truist Park
4-5
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 31%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
42%R 53% · RA 31%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
28%R 23% · RA 33%
Sample 13Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
62%
+10pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
025517710382671514926257365684406855457641577535583237971010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 487Runs Allowed 525

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
026527810483671432925657360524666557552651627714382634981510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 539Runs Allowed 476
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 39/11123% 26/111#232% 35/111#331% 34/11120% 22/11124% 26/11022% 24/10828% 28/10129% 23/7857% 4/7
RA#133% 37/11121% 23/11127% 30/111#232% 35/11131% 34/11126% 29/11031% 34/11030% 30/101#331% 23/7486% 6/7
BravesR#335% 39/11219% 21/11230% 34/11225% 28/112#236% 40/112#138% 43/11229% 32/11126% 26/10023% 18/7836% 4/11
RA#230% 34/11219% 21/112#330% 34/11225% 28/11229% 32/11223% 26/112#132% 35/11027% 27/10028% 23/8182% 9/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.